
Heading into Easter weekend, the opening projections for Ryan Coogler’s Sinners were all over the place. Warner Bros. stuck to $35 million-$40 million, while tracking services showed the supernatural vampire pic coming in as high as $45 million. Others predicted north of $50 million.
Lost in the conversation was the fact that Sinners is an R-rated period horror movie featuring a mostly Black cast at a time when the Trump administration is punishing companies and institutions that refuse to abandon their commitments to diversity and inclusion. Nonetheless, Sinners more than found salvation at the Easter box office, toppling A Minecraft Movie in an unexpected upset with a $48 million domestic debut, thanks to powerful word of mouth. It’s also another win for embattled Warners movie chiefs Michael De Luca and Pamela Abdy (the studio is also home of Minecraft).
Set in 1932, Coogler’s fifth feature stars Michael B. Jordan in dual roles as identical twin entrepreneurs known as Smoke and Stack. Having survived the World War I trenches and Chicago gangland, the brothers return after seven years to their segregated Mississippi Delta hometown, Clarksdale. They are flush with cash and have a truckload of liquor and a plan to open a juke joint. However, they encounter unexpected horrors.
The movie’s much-debated production budget of $90 million before marketing has prompted some in the media to label Sinners‘ a sure money-loser. But one veteran financing source says it’s premature to make such a prediction, and that there could even be a sequel down the road based on the outstanding reaction. (On Monday, Sinners grossed a stellar $7.8 million for a domestic box office cume of $55.8 million. That’s not far behind the $9.9 million earned by Minecraft on its first Monday.)
Says Comscore chief box office analyst Paul Dergarabedian, “Sinners is a case study in how a purposeful marketing and distribution strategy backed up by a world class movie can then be carried forward by the most powerful marketing ambassadors on the planet: the moviegoers themselves.”
He’s right. Not many movies are embraced to the same degree by critics and audiences; Sinners is a notable exception. Here’s why.
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‘Sinners’ Breaks the CinemaScore Horror Curse
Image Credit: Warner Bros. The only other horror film to ever be graced with an A CinemaScore from audiences was James Cameron’s sequel Aliens in 1986.
Cameron took over directing duties from Ridley Scott, whose groundbreaking film Alien was released in 1979 just as the Las Vegas-based polling firm known as CinemaScore was getting up and running, meaning there is no audience score for that film.
Generally speaking, even the most successful horror pics often get slapped with a C CinemaScore, or a B.
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Coogler (and Jordan) Are a Five-Star Audience Wonder
Image Credit: Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images Every weekend, PostTrak conducts real-time exit polls in thousands of theaters across the country. Studios execs are overjoyed, particularly, in the post-pandemic era, if one of their titles even gets four out of five stars overall.
Coogler is in rarefied air. Sinners received five stars, making it the third film he’s directed to pass with flying colors after his ground-breaking Marvel superhero pics Black Panther and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. And Creeed III, the last installment in the successful franchise he and Jordan got off the ground, also earned five stars. Jordan directed the threequel, with Coogler producing.
Jordan has appeared in all five of the movies Coogler has directed, which also include Fruitvale Station and the first Creed.
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Critics Deliver Coogler a New High
Image Credit: The Weinstein Company/Courtesy Everett Collection Coogler burst onto the scene more than a dozen years ago with his feature directorial debut Fruitvale Station, an indie biographical drama based on the life and death of Oscar Grant, a young Black man shot and killed by a transit police officer at a BART station in Oakland (Coogler was born in the northern California city). The film won numerous accolades and was praised by critics, a feat repeated throughout Coogler’s career.
Sinners marks a new milestone for Coogler in being the best-reviewed of the five films he’s directed. As of press time, the movie’s Rotten Tomatoes critics’ score was 98 percent. That’s ahead of Black Panther‘s 96 percent rating, the best of any film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. Creed‘s rating is 95 percent, followed by Fruitvale at 94 percent. The only title to not fall in the 90th percentile range was Black Panther: Wakanda Forvever, which stands at 84 percent.
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Winning Over an Ethnically Diverse Audience
Image Credit: Courtesy of Warner Bros. Coogler has devoted his career to promoting diversity in front of the camera and behind it. Black Panther made history in becoming the first superhero tenptole, or any Hollywood tentpole for that matter, to feature a cast that was almost entirely Black. The pic grossed a mega $1.34 billion at the global box office for Marvel and Disney.
On the opening day of Sinners, nearly half of all ticket buyers were Black moviegoers, far above the norm. That was followed by White moviegoers (27 percent), Latinos (14 percent), Asian (6 percent) and Native American/Other (4 percent), according to those with access to unweighted PostTrak data.
By late Sunday, the demos broadened out in a continued victory for winning over an ethnically diverse audience. According to an updated weighted PosTrak weekend report, Black moviegoers made up 38 percent of opening weekend ticket buyers, followed by White moviegoers (35 percent), Latinos (18 percent), Asians (5 percent) and Native American/Other (4 percent).
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What ‘Sinners’ Shares in Common With ‘Avatar’ and (Yes) ‘Alvin and the Chipmunks’
Image Credit: Courtesy of Everett Collection After weeks of coming under fire, Warner Bros. film empire, led by De Luca and Abdy, found salvation at the Easter weekend box office. Between the better-than-expected opening of Sinners and the continued strength of A Minecraft Movie, Warners became the first studio since 2009 to have two movies gross $40 million or more on the same weekend. All told, the studio commanded 64 percent of all movie tickets sold in North America.
The last time this happened was over Christmas weekend in 2009 when James Cameron’s Avatar earned $75 million and Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakual grossed $49 million. Both films hailed from the now extinct 20th Century Fox, which would later be absorbed by Disney.
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